HERRAMIENTAS GRAFICAS SOBRE LOS MERCADOS BAJISTAS DE VALORES Y SOBRE LA ACTIVIDAD PRODUCTIVA FUTURA

Los medios actuales permiten una comprensión rápida y adecuada de la tendencia e importancia relativa de los fenómenos objeto de consideración.

En cuanto a los mercados bajistas de valores, el gráfico interactivo del New York Times compara el mercado bajista actual con los que le han precedido y permite seguir su gravedad, evolución y duración.

Source:
How This Bear Market Compares
Amanda Cox, Xaquín G.V. and David Leonhardt
NYT, October 11, 2008
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2008/10/11/business/20081011_BEAR_MARKET

En lo que se refiere a la esperada actividad productiva futura, el Baltic Dry Index permite conocer cuál es la evolución esperada en función del movimiento de mercancías por mar:

The Baltic Dry Index is an index covering dry bulk shipping rates and managed by the Baltic Exchange in London. According to Baltic Exchange, the index provides:

“	…an assessment of the price of moving the major raw materials by sea. Taking in 26 shipping routes measured on a timecharter and voyage basis, the index covers Supramax, Panamax, and Capesize dry bulk carriers carrying a range of commodities including coal, iron ore and grain.	”
—The Baltic Exchange, in BalticExchange.Com

The index is made up of an average of the Baltic Supramax, Panamax, and Capesize indices. These indices are based on professional assessments made by a panel of international shipbroking companies. The index can be accessed on a subscription basis directly from the Baltic Exchange as well as from major financial information and news services such as Thomson Financial Datastream, Reuters and Bloomberg L.P..

Most directly, the index measures the demand for shipping capacity versus the supply of dry bulk carriers. However, since the demand for shipping varies with the amount of cargo that is being traded in the market (supply and demand) and the supply of ships is much less elastic than the demand for them, the index indirectly measures global supply and demand for the commodities shipped aboard dry bulk carriers, such as cement, coal, iron ore, and grain.

Because dry bulk primarily consists of materials that function as raw material inputs to the production of intermediate or finished goods, such as concrete, electricity, steel, and food, the index is also seen as a good economic indicator of future economic growth and production, termed a leading economic indicator because it predicts future economic activity.

La predicción de la actividad económica futura está a la vista del gráfico.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baltic_Dry_Index